Tag: Gartner Hype Cyclee

  • AI In Chaos

    AI In Chaos

    There is a daily flood of often contradictory posts regarding the tremendous and immediate value of Artificial Intelligence (AI).  But are we to believe our lying eyes?

    This picture of wiring stupidity might as well have been taken in my front yard.  Years of shoddy workmanship by firms that do not care in a city that cares even less about its neighborhoods is the result.  But that is not the theme of this post.

    The artificial intelligence software sector looks like this photograph. Tracing connections and thoughts is almost impossible and may require AI to understand AI.  Is that even possible?

    AI Is On Fire

    “We must implement AI because everyone else is doing it” is the mantra.  Expressed by those selling AI products and services, organizations feel pressure to buy immature code as individuals are told their careers are over and robots will replace them in the next few years.  This pundit challenges this rant.

    There is a method to the madness and order can be made out of the chaos of the “new kid on the block.”  It is not necessary to panic or make quick irrational decisions.

    Published in 2023, I co-authored the book, Smart Manufacturing: Integrating Transformational Technologies for Competitiveness and Sustainability and the just released, Navigating the Data Minefields: Management’s Guide to Better Decision-Making.  Moreover, the next forthcoming book by CRC Press, The Transformation of Our Spreadsheet Society: Moving Towards a Nonlinear, Big Data Enabled AI Environment, should be released in early 2026.

    The focus of all these volumes is to help management and non-IT individuals better understand game-changing technologies, how to assess, procure and deploy them and attain superior economic value for the firm.  Additionally, we address what individuals must do to keep their skills and career current and future proofed.

    I mention this because we must all remain clear eyed in this current caldron of chaos.  Rudyard Kipling is famous for his poem that begins, “If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs.”  Our generation should learn from this call to calm, rational thinking (readers should read the entire very powerful poem).

    Those not familiar with the IT field may not know but the sector even has a name for the development curve AI technologies are on.  The research firm, Gardner has developed a tool that can be useful. “The AI Hype Cycle is Gartner’s graphical representation of the maturity, adoption metrics and business impact of AI technologies (including GenAI).  It helps organizations understand where different AI innovations are on the path to becoming mainstream, why they are where they are and what these innovations mean in the context of the overall AI landscape.”  While the Hype Cycle is a commercial offering, a great deal is written, and a high-level understanding is readily available to all from online sources.

    The Storm Will Pass

    AI offers tremendous promise across all human endeavors.  At the moment it is a new shiny object that entices but still has a lot of unknowns.  It will mature and become as ubiquitous as the Internet.

    The rate that individuals embrace change varies widely; however, change is a fact of life, and I believe this change will benefit more than it hinders.  After all, other generations have undergone significant change that we now take for granted, i.e., automobiles (aka horseless carriage), smart devices, etc.

    What are you doing to keep yourself not only relevant but of high value in the AI world?

  • Burrattery

    Burrattery

    Burr!  Its winter in the northern hemisphere and many shiver from the cold.  The ‘Many’ include batteries.

    We have know for generations that cold weather negatively affects electrical batteries.  So, it should come as no surprise that Electric Vehicles (EVs) performance can suffer greatly when the temperatures are extremely cold.  This phenomenon is not limited to this power source, diesel engines face similar challenges at very low temperatures.

    Is It All Hype?

    The IT research firm, Gartner has developed a model describing the process from the inception of new technologies to their general acceptance.  The Gartner Hype Cycle is widely viewed as a reasonable model of this process and is applied to a wide variety of technological innovations.  As the title suggests, technology undergoes a process of innovation, disappointment and finally broad acceptance.  Moreover, this process can take many years with the demise of many startup companies that were perhaps even too early in the process.

    According to Gartner, “Data-enabled services, electrification and smart cabins are a part of many technologies in this Hype Cycle.  Most of these technologies continue to be in the Innovation Trigger and Peak of Inflated Expectations, showing they have a lot of potential to disrupt the automotive space, but yet have some way to go before reaching mainstream adoption.”

    Diffusion of Innovations

    Most readers are probably familiar with the so-called Technology Adoption model which is composed of five types of users/buyers:

    1. Innovators
    2. Early Adopters
    3. Early Majority
    4. Late Majority
    5. Laggards

    For these and more reasons (including high prices), it seems that EVs may have a way to go before wide acceptance with more robust battery technologies.  Finally, we previously challenged the perceived low Carbon Footprint of batteries and documented these technologies are not as green as portrayed.  Interested readers can take a look at our blog Crippling Green discussion regarding the economics of Climate Change.

    Where does your organization fall on either or both of these curves for battery technologies?

    For More Information

    Please note, RRI does not endorse or advocate the links to any third-party materials herein.  They are provided for education and entertainment only.

    See our Economic Value Proposition Matrix® (EVPM) for additional information and a free version to build your own EVPM.

    The author’s credentials in this field are available on his LinkedIn page.  Moreover, Dr. Shemwell is a coauthor of the just published book, “Smart Manufacturing: Integrating Transformational Technologies for Competitiveness and Sustainability.”  His focus is on Operational Technologies.

    “People fail to get along because they fear each other; they fear each other because they don’t know each other; they don’t know each other because they have not communicated with each other.” (Martin Luther King speech at Cornell College, 1962).  For more information on Cross Cultural Engagement, check out our Cross Cultural Serious Game.  You can contact this author as well.

    For more details regarding climate change models, check out Bjorn Lomborg ands his latest book, False Alarm: How Climate Change Panic Costs Us Trillions, Hurts the Poor, and Fails to Fix the Planet.

    Regarding the economics of Climate Change, check out our blog, Crippling Green.

    For those start-up firms addressing energy (including renewables) challenges, the author can put you in touch with Global Energy Mentors which provide no-cost mentoring services from energy experts.  If interested, check it out and give me a shout.